Geopolitics

Scenarios for an Unraveling Iran Nuclear Deal

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Iran’s decision last week to remove 27 monitoring cameras in response to a Western-backed resolution by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) criticizing its failure to cooperate was a major setback for stalled efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. It came amid rising tensions with Israel and the US, stoked by the suspected assassination of Iranian scientists and senior military officials and tit-for-tat oil tanker seizures. The war in Ukraine and unprecedented Western sanctions pressures, meanwhile, are pushing Russia and Iran closer. Energy Intelligence weighs three possible scenarios.

Topics:
Sanctions, Military Conflict, Nuclear Policy, Trade, Opec/Opec-Plus, Security Risk
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